Probability of El Niño next winter increases to 78%

Probability of El Niño in a given three-month period (e.g. OND = October, November, December)

posted by Barry Parr
Thu, May 8, 2014
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The National Weather Service has increased its estimate of the probability of an El Niño beginning in November from 66% to 78%.

There remains uncertainty as to exactly when El Niño will develop and an even greater uncertainty as to how strong it may become. This uncertainty is related to the inherently lower forecast skill of the models for forecasts made in the spring.

Many forecasters are expecting that if there is an El Niño that it could be unusually strong.

The structural similarity of SST [sea surface temperature] anomalies in the equatorial Pacific between 1997 and 2014–combined with numerical model projections for continued warming in the coming months–suggest that the it’s still rather likely that the Pacific is headed for a major El Niño event this year. By the end of May, we start to move past the Spring Predictability Barrier, so I expect that we’ll have a much better handle on where things are headed by early June.

 

Coastside Community Orchestra’s Spring Concert, Saturday

Bruce Yu will play the Mendelssohn Violin Concerto in E Minor.
Letter
posted by Kate Mayer
Wed, May 7, 2014
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The Coastside Community Orchestra’s Spring Concert features Dvorak’s Slavonic Dances 5-8, Soloist Bruce Yu playing Mendelssohn’s Violin Concerto in E Minor Dvorak’s Symphony #9, “The New World.”

The CCO will also present music scholarships to the 2014 winners.

May 10th at 7:00 p.m., Coastside Lutheran Church, 900 N. Cabrillo Hwy., Half Moon Bay.

Tickets available at the door a half hour before the performance, $10 general, $7 seniors, students and children free www.coastsideorchestra.com.

 

Sheriff’s blotter, May 2

posted by Barry Parr
Wed, May 7, 2014
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3990
04/22/56
500 block of Silver Ave HMB
13700PC- Domestic incident
Domestic disturbance

3657
05/01/51
Venice Beach HMB
647(F)PC-Public intoxication849(B)(2)PC-Released from custody
Deputy dispatched to welfare check of subject who looked “out of it”. The subject was found on a bench along the Coastside trail, and appeared to be under the influence of synthetic marijuana. He was determined to be unable to care for himself and was arrested and transported to SM County Jail, to be released when sober.
Male age 19 of HMB

3634
05/01/30
500 block of Kelly HMB
Misdemeanor warrant
A subject wanted on a misdemeanor warrant came to the substation where he was cited and released on his promise to appear.
Male age 42 of HMB

 

Coastside dancer is a finalist in Beach Blanket Babylon’s Scholarship For The Arts

Letter
posted by Jim Manning
Tue, May 6, 2014
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Coastside Shely Pack Dancer JP Viernes is named as finalist in Beach Blanket Babylon’s Scholarship For The Arts For 2014!

Hopefully, This Will Be Shely Pack Dancers Third Win In This Competition. The Winner Receives A Scholarship For $10,000.

 

Gulf of the Farallones Exploration: Alcatraz seabirds, May 31

posted by Barry Parr
Tue, May 6, 2014
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Spindrift Dance Company presents The Monster Within, May 16 & 17

Press release
posted by Barry Parr
Mon, May 5, 2014
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Join some of Spindrift’s most talented and dedicated dancers as they make their company debut on the Terra Nova Theatre stage. This year’s production is an all-youth dance performance exploring what truly makes a monster.

From Medusa to the Banshee, the Nightmare Before Christmas to the Hunchback of Notre Dame, the haunting stories you know and love are brought to life through dance.

Terra Nova Theatre
1450 Terra Nova Blvd., Pacifica, CA

Friday,  May 16th @ 7:00 PM
Saturday, May 17th @ 7:00 PM

Tickets $15, Call (650)738-8648
Free to Oceana Students w/Stundent ID

 

Puente de la Costa Sur donations matched today and tomorrow

posted by Barry Parr
Mon, May 5, 2014
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Donations to Puente de la Costa Sur will be eligible for matching funds up to $35,000 from Silicon Valley Gives on May 6 Day of Giving.

The web page is open now and any donations made today will be added tomorrow.

Puente is the only community resource center on the South Coast and the only organization in San Mateo County that focuses primarily on agricultural workers and their families.

 

Coastal erosion plan workshop, Tuesday, May 20

Barry Parr
Surfers Beach at Coronado Avenue
posted by Barry Parr
Mon, May 5, 2014
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There will be a public workshop as part of the process of creating a Coastal Regional Sediment Management Plan for the 75 miles of coast from Pillar Point to Moss Landing, the Santa Cruz Littoral Cell. More information on the process can be found on the state’s website.

The workshop is being hosted by the U.S. Geological Survey. The goals of the workshop are to

  • Describe erosion issues affecting ocean beaches and coastal infrastructure, such as parking lots, highways, structs, storm drains, and sewage outfall.
  • Solicit public comments on plan concepts

Tuesday May 20 from 6 to 8pm
Half Moon Bay Yacht Club
214 Princeton Avenue, Princeton

RSVP to brand Damitz brad.damitz@noaa.gov or 415.259.5766.

 

 

Coastside beach closures, April 30

San Vicente Creek at Fitzgerald Marine Preserve
posted by Barry Parr
Mon, May 5, 2014
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The following locations had elevated levels of indicator bacteria and are posted with warning signs:

Ocean Beaches

  • Pillar Point #9 (Outer Harbor)

Other Locations

  • San Vicente Creek (at Fitzgerald Marine Reserve)

 

 

Songbird & Seabird Workshop and Walk, Saturday, May 10

White-crowned Sparrow at Wavecrest
Press release
posted by Barry Parr
Mon, May 5, 2014
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Coastside Land Trust and world-renowned birder Alvaro Jaramillo present Songbirds & Seabirds of the Coastside on Saturday, May 10 through an entertaining workshop and guided bird walk. The workshop will focus on behavior, field marks, ecology, and migratory patterns of local birds and take place at Senior Coastsiders’ new venue on Main Street. The walk will allow you to experience the birds in person through small group guided tours of Coastside Land Trust’s coastal prairie open space at wavecrest. Tickets to the workshop and walk are sold separately and must be purchased in advance.

Workshop
Saturday May 10, 1–2:30pm
Senior Coastsiders (925 Main Street, HMB)
Tickets must be purchased in advance here.
$20 limited availability

Walk
Saturday May 10, 3–5pm
Wavecrest Open Space, meet at Smith Field Ballparks
Tickets must be purchased in advance here.
$20 limited availability

 

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